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Savings up + GST collections down = GST rate up?

Kiwi households are saving more than at any time since 1995 according to the latest national accounts.

http://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/household-savings-rate-positive-five-years

The flip side is with low inflation and lower consumption the Government’s GST take is down.

I’m not an economist but my understanding is even though households may be saving more, national savings overall aren’t necessarily any better off because of the push/pull effect of private savings and tax collections.

This was something the Savings Working Group considered in their report Saving New Zealand: Reducing Vulnerabilities and Barriers to Growth and Prosperity: Final Report to the Minister of Finance published in February 2011.

As a countermeasure the Savings Working Group recommended an increase in the GST rate from 15% to 17.5% over other tax changes because GST is “less distorting than income tax on the saving decision”.

http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/reviews-consultation/savingsworkinggroup/finalreport/30.htm

The political challenge with increasing GST to 17.5% is that our rate is already amongst the highest in the world when it comes to basic food, education, healthcare and utilities. Outside of the benefit system there doesn’t seem to be a simple mechanism to compensate low-income households for an increase in GST and this must surely put real pressure on our single rate broad-based regime.

Iain

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Election 2014 – your GST vote

This weekend’s New Zealand general election offers some choice in GST policy.

So, if you’re a GST geek like me you might be swayed by what the different parties intend doing about GST.

Here’s what I’ve been able to find out about some of the main parties’ GST policies:

Labour Party – no change to base or rates. Committed to simplifying compliance and supports “one hour, one return, one payment” principle for monthly GST and income tax compliance.

Green Party – no change to base or rates. Propose extra ecological taxes but will leave detail to a commission. Also, propose financial transaction tax. [comment – subject to seeing the detail, the existing GST system could be one way of achieving these new tax imposts].

National Party – no change to base or rates.

Mana Party – propose abolition of GST and replace with “Hone Heke Tax” on financial speculation.

Maori Party – will revisit removing GST on healthy food (fruit and veges) and also increasing GST on sugary drinks.

I couldn’t find any detail from other parties. If anyone knows any more feel free to comment.

Cheers and happy voting on Saturday Kiwis

Iain